Monday, January 6, 2014

Market Week: January 6, 2014

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The Markets

Equities rang in the new year by taking a bit of a breather. As investors decided to take some of the profits that the Santa Claus rally had left in their stockings, the Dow lost 135 points on 2014's first trading day, though it regained much of that the following day. The other three domestic indices fared slightly worse, though not as badly as the Global Dow. Meanwhile, gold showed signs of new life after its disastrous 2013, jumping nearly 3% in the first two days of the year.

Last Week's Headlines

  • Home prices rose 0.2% in October, putting them 13.6% higher than 12 months earlier. The year-over-year gain in the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index was the strongest since February 2006, and October's monthly increase represents the 17th straight month of gains. However, S&P warned that the monthly increases were showing signs of slowing.
  • Construction spending was up 1% in November, according to the Commerce Department, and was almost 6% higher than the previous November. Strength in both residential and nonresidential private construction fueled the growth as spending on public works projects fell 1.8% during the month.

Eye on the Week Ahead

Last week's light trading volumes should be back to normal this week, and those who believe that the first five trading days of January indicate something about equities' subsequent direction during the coming year will have a better basis for making that assessment. Friday's jobs numbers will be of interest, as always, as will the minutes of the meeting at which the Fed's monetary policy committee decided to start tapering.

Data sources: Economic: Based on data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (unemployment, inflation); U.S. Department of Commerce (GDP, corporate profits, retail sales, housing); S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index (home prices); Institute for Supply Management (manufacturing/services). Performance: Based on data reported in WSJ Market Data Center (indexes); U.S. Treasury (Treasury yields); U.S. Energy Information Administration/Bloomberg.com Market Data (oil spot price, WTI Cushing, OK); www.goldprices.org (spot gold/silver); Oanda/FX Street (currency exchange rates). All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2,000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indices listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.